AfD Holds Lead Merz Plummets

AfD Holds Lead Merz Plummets

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) continues to dominate the German political landscape, holding its position as the leading party with 26% of the electorate, according to the latest Forsa poll conducted between October 21st and 27th, 2025. While the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), led by Friedrich Merz, has managed a slight uptick in voter favour, stabilizing at 25%, it remains consistently behind the AfD, highlighting a persistent challenge for the traditionally dominant conservative bloc.

The Social Democratic Party (SPD) continues its downward trajectory, slipping further to 13%, signalling potential growing discontent amongst traditional working-class voters. The recently formed BSW party also experiences a marginal loss, diminishing to 3%, suggesting difficulties in establishing a broader appeal. The Left party, however, has seen a modest gain, reaching 12%, potentially capitalizing on dissatisfaction with the mainstream political offerings. The Green party and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) remain stagnant at 12% and 3% respectively, suggesting a lack of dynamism on their part.

The poll data paints a particularly bleak picture for Chancellor Friedrich Merz. His approval ratings continue to plummet, with a staggering 72% of German citizens expressing dissatisfaction with his performance – the lowest recorded since he assumed leadership. While enthusiasm remains strong amongst CDU and CSU supporters (72% approval), overwhelming disapproval is evident among voters affiliated with other parties. The Left party (95% disapproval), the Green party (85% disapproval) and even the AfD (97% disapproval) demonstrate widespread rejection of Merz’s leadership, underscoring a significant disconnect between the Chancellor and the broader electorate. This polarization indicates a deeper crisis in political consensus building.

Furthermore, the survey reveals a deepening pessimism regarding the economic outlook. A majority (66%) of respondents now anticipate a deterioration in the economic climate, reflecting the worst sentiment recorded since January 2024. Only 14% express optimism regarding future economic improvements. This growing economic anxiety is likely contributing to volatility in public opinion and fueling support for populist alternatives such as the AfD, creating a climate ripe for political disruption and demanding urgent strategic shifts within the established political order.