According to the Hamburger Landeswahlleiter, as of 11 a.m., including postal voting, approximately 38.3 percent of eligible voters have cast their ballots. This figure includes a postal voting participation of 28.8 percent. In comparison, by the same time in the 2020 election, around 29.6 percent of eligible voters had cast their ballots, with a postal voting participation of 20.8 percent, ultimately resulting in a total election participation of 63.0 percent.
For the prediction of postal voting participation in 2025, a return of 90 percent of the issued and valid postal voting documents was assumed.
More than 1.3 million eligible voters are called to cast their ballots by 6 p.m. on Sunday. A total of 16 parties and electoral associations will contest the election with a state list. A total of 121 seats in the Hamburg Parliament are up for grabs, with 71 seats to be directly elected and the rest to be allocated through open state lists, according to the electoral rules. According to opinion polls, the SPD is leading, followed by the CDU and the Greens. The red-green government may be able to continue its work if there are no surprises on election day.