The latest Infratest poll, conducted Monday to Wednesday for ARD, surveyed 1,317 eligible voters and proposes a scenario where, if a federal election were held on Sunday, the CDU and CSU would jointly reach 28 percent – two points higher than at the beginning of February. The AfD would sit at 23 percent (a drop of one point). The SPD would decline to 14 percent, also down one point. The Greens would be at 13 percent (up one), the Left at 9 percent (down one), BSW at 4 percent (up one), while all other parties, including the FDP, combined would hit 9 percent (down one).
In terms of satisfaction with the current government’s performance, 25 percent of respondents report being very satisfied or satisfied, a rise of four points, whereas 73 percent feel less or not satisfied with the work of the Union and SPD, a five‑point decline.
Regarding how the governing parties interact, 19 percent feel very satisfied or satisfied, while 76 percent are less or not satisfied. For context, in May 2024 only 10 percent were satisfied with the collaboration of the then “traffic‑light” coalition, compared with 85 percent who were dissatisfied.
When evaluating the content of the Union-SPD coalition’s policies so far, 18 percent express satisfaction, 79 percent are dissatisfied; the traffic‑light coalition had 25 percent satisfied and 71 percent dissatisfied in May 2024.
Concerning the clarity of how the government explains and communicates its policies, 16 percent are satisfied and 82 percent are not; the traffic‑light coalition had 11 percent satisfied and 85 percent dissatisfied in May 2024.
Within the cabinet, Defense Minister Boris Pistorius (SPD) remains best rated: 55 percent are satisfied with his work, down two points from February. Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul (CDU) has 33 percent satisfaction (+2), 39 percent dissatisfied, and 28 percent are uncertain or unfamiliar. Vice‑Chancellor and Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil (SPD) improved to 33 percent satisfaction (+2), with 50 percent dissatisfied.
Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU) enjoys 29 percent satisfaction (+4) and 68 percent dissatisfaction. CSU Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt is satisfied with 28 percent (+1) and 52 percent dissatisfied. Labor Minister Bärbel Bas (SPD) holds 25 percent satisfaction (down two), 46 percent dissatisfied and 29 percent are uncertain. AfD parliamentary group leader Alice Weidel remains at 25 percent satisfaction (unchanged from January) with 65 percent dissatisfied. Left party leader Jan von Aken has 13 percent satisfaction (unchanged), 31 percent dissatisfied and 56 percent uncertain.
Economy Minister Katherina Reiche (CDU) saw satisfaction fall to 13 percent (-5 compared to February), with 50 percent dissatisfied and 37 percent uncertain. Greens chairwoman Franziska Brantner enjoys 12 percent satisfaction (+3 from January), 28 percent dissatisfied and 60 percent uncertain.