A significant majority of Germans express support for the industrial transformation required to achieve climate neutrality, even when projects are planned near their homes, according to a new study by the Institute for Economic Research (IW). The findings, reported by the Funke-Mediengroup newspapers, reveal that 47.5% of the population endorse the large-scale infrastructural changes necessary for decarbonization, while a mere 14% actively oppose them. A substantial 38% remain undecided, highlighting a critical space for engagement and persuasion.
The industrial shift encompasses extensive developments like the expansion of power grids, hydrogen and CO2 pipelines, new wind turbine and solar park construction and modifications to existing industrial facilities. Despite the anticipated substantial impact on landscapes and communities, the IW’s analysis of a nationwide survey of 2,180 individuals indicates surprisingly limited public resistance.
Approximately a quarter of the German population resides in regions slated for significant infrastructural developments. Even within these areas directly impacted, rejection of proposed projects remains relatively low at around 18%. However, the research reveals a concerning disconnect: nearly 70% of respondents underestimated the degree to which their own region would be affected. Crucially, the study finds that transparent and proactive communication regarding planned alterations does not exacerbate opposition and in fact, increases acceptance, particularly amongst the undecided.
The study underscores a significant political challenge. While proactive information dissemination generally fosters understanding and acceptance, the research reveals a notable exception: individuals with affiliations to the Alternative for Germany (AfD) show no measurable shift in opinion – positive or negative – regardless of the level of information provided. This suggests a deeper ideological resistance that may require different engagement strategies.
Matthias Diermeier, an IW expert, cautions policymakers against shying away from open dialogue and transparent communication regarding the scale of infrastructural changes. “The political leadership must not be afraid to engage in dialogue and openly communicate the extent of the infrastructural changes” Diermeier stated. “This is crucial to counteract the risk that critical minorities seize control of local opinion leadership and sabotage the necessary efforts to achieve climate neutrality.
The findings raise questions about the efficacy of current public engagement strategies and highlight the potential for strategically deployed information to bolster support for climate action. Failure to address the disconnect between perceived and actual impact and particularly to engage constructively with those exhibiting ideological resistance, could hinder Germany’s progress towards its climate goals.