Chancellor Friedrich Merz of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) is set to engage in a potentially fraught discussion with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan during an upcoming visit to Ankara, centering on the contentious issue of deportations and the broader trajectory of EU-Turkey relations. Sources within the German government indicate a declared intention to deepen cooperation with Turkey on migration, a move largely dictated by the nation’s position as the primary source country for individuals subject to deportation orders in Germany.
While initial progress has reportedly been made in recent months, the planned discussions aim to translate those gains into more concrete and actionable steps regarding the repatriation of individuals with rejected asylum claims. Critics, however, argue that increased cooperation risks overlooking human rights concerns and the precarious legal situations faced by many potential deportees, particularly given the ongoing political challenges within Turkey itself. Concerns are likely to be raised regarding the potential for mistreatment upon return.
Beyond migration, Merz’s visit will also address the delicate and complex relationship between the European Union and Turkey. Despite the protracted freeze on accession negotiations, the German government continues to formally designate Turkey as a strategically vital partner and a candidate for EU membership, a position that diverts from growing skepticism within some EU member states. This formal designation serves as a cornerstone of the German strategy, aiming to keep diplomatic channels open and retain leverage for influence.
Furthermore, mirroring Germany’s efforts to bolster the collective defense structure of the NATO alliance, Berlin is advocating for a more comprehensive integration of Turkey, an ambition that includes facilitating the potential transfer of Eurofighter fighter jets. This advocacy highlights the strategic importance Germany places on Turkey’s continued involvement in transatlantic security, even amidst tensions surrounding its democratic trajectory and regional foreign policy. The meeting between Merz and Erdoğan, scheduled for Thursday, promises to be a pivotal moment in defining the contours of this complex and increasingly critical partnership.