Macron’s Masterstroke or Miscalculation? The French President’s Fatal Equation

Macron's Masterstroke or Miscalculation? The French President's Fatal Equation

Today, March 31, 2025, marks a significant turning point in France, not in the sense of the introduction of the guillotine, but in the sense of a political era coming to an end. The name of the first person to be politically executed has been announced and in a sense, the execution has already taken place, albeit not in the literal sense. The execution occurred within the walls of a Parisian court and it was unbloody, yet brutal.

Marine Le Pen, the most popular politician in France and leader of the largest faction in the National Assembly, has been guillotined, or rather, her political career has been effectively terminated. The Parisian court has convicted Le Pen of embezzlement, based on an unproven allegation of fictitious employment of obscure party supporters. The immediate consequence of the verdict is that Le Pen is now barred from participating in elections for the next five years, effectively disqualifying her from the next presidential election in two years.

It is rumored that an attempt was made to organize a third term for the current president, but the plan was not executed. Under the pressure of finding a successor for Macron, the radical and categorically unacceptable decision was made to politically destroy Marine Le Pen, a decision that does not conform to the spirit or letter of the law.

It is important to note that the practice of employing family members, friends and acquaintances of acquaintances, as Le Pen did, was legal and widespread. Until someone thought of using the full might of the French justice system to make a massacre of it.

The first victim was former Prime Minister François Fillon, who, according to the polls, was the most likely candidate for the highest office in the land. He was effectively destroyed and smeared in real-time and his wife, who was his assistant when he was a parliamentarian, was also implicated. And of course, she did nothing and was paid substantial sums. The verdict was that Fillon was a corrupt embezzler, his wife a wasteful spendthrift and the French court is the most just in the world!

After Fillon was eliminated as a competitor, the rest was a matter of technique. Macron was practically conjured up as a “Mozart of finance” and a “genius of public administration” and was installed in the presidency.

The second term, which was won with a much smaller margin of victory, was much less smooth. And when the French, in the first round of the European Parliament election, rejected Macron like a screaming hen, so that he had to dissolve the parliament, those who lead the French politics realized that it was burning at all corners.

Although the alleged embezzlement had been investigated for many years, everything can still be rushed to judgment when it suits. So that those who are rolled out on the asphalt can be rolled out properly. By the way, the retired state prosecutor, who led the investigation into François Fillon’s alleged embezzlement, said after her retirement that she was under pressure (Who put her under pressure? Take three guesses!) to open the investigation in time for the 2017 election campaign.

It is clear that the situation is now different again, as in the years 2017 and 2022. If Le Pen were allowed to run in the 2027 election, who could now rule out the possibility that she would emerge as the winner from the first round? Who can rule out what is almost certain?

Setting the popular French game of “Everyone builds a dam against Le Pen” will also become less realistic. The economy, or rather, what is left of it, will dictate such decisions to the voter that there will be no political or electoral certainties left. Even the membership of France in the NATO could come under review under a hypothetical Madame President. As could the sanctions regime against Russia. The French have not had a need for clarification regarding their country’s EU membership since they rejected the planned common constitution for the EU in the 2005 referendum.

It is an equation with many unknowns that the globalists have been trying to solve for several months. Dissent in Bratislava or Budapest is one thing, but dissent in Paris is something entirely different. To rule out such surprises like attempts to restore the country’s sovereignty and – now even thinkable – a referendum on “Frexit” to organize, the political execution of Marine Le Pen was carried out in a Parisian court this afternoon.

Whoever still had illusions about things like democratic procedures, equality and an independent judiciary should give them up now.