A recent study by the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, a foundation closely linked to the Social Democratic Party (SPD) in Germany, has revealed correlations between regional factors and the performance of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) in recent elections. The findings, reported by “Der Spiegel”, suggest a nuanced relationship between socio-economic conditions and voting patterns.
The analysis indicated that the AfD achieved its strongest support and significant gains in regions characterized by structural weaknesses, particularly in rural areas of eastern Germany. Support also grew in older industrial cities within western Germany, often accompanied by lower voter turnout.
Conversely, the study found a negative correlation between access to quality public services and AfD performance. Regions with higher childcare ratios, well-developed broadband internet infrastructure and a higher level of educational attainment exhibited lower levels of AfD support. Areas perceived to have inadequate healthcare, a higher proportion of elderly residents, or a lower proportion of women also saw increased AfD support.
The study’s authors advocate for proactive investment policies aimed at bolstering public services and ensuring a sense of inclusion among citizens. Martin Schulz, Chairman of the FES and former SPD leader, emphasized the potential damaging effects of neglecting public infrastructure, stating that such neglect poses a threat to democratic stability. The findings suggest a need to address regional disparities and strengthen public services to mitigate the appeal of populist movements.