Recent polling data indicates a continued lead for the conservative bloc, comprised of the CDU and CSU, in voter preference. The latest survey, conducted by the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, places support for the Union at 27 percent, remaining unchanged from previous measurements. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) has experienced a slight decrease, falling to 23 percent, down one percentage point.
The Social Democratic Party (SPD) currently stands at 15 percent, holding steady. Conversely, the Green Party has seen a one-point increase, reaching 12 percent. Die Linke remains at 11 percent, while both the BSW (Bundestag Session Welfare) and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) each register 3 percent. Collectively, all other parties garner 6 percent of support, with no single party achieving the 3 percent threshold for parliamentary representation. Based on these figures, a coalition comprised of the CDU/CSU and SPD would not command a parliamentary majority.
The polling data also suggests a growing perception of strained relations within the governing coalition. Following 100 days in power, only 32 percent of Germans believe the CDU/CSU and SPD are cooperating effectively. A significant majority, 61 percent – including 41 percent of Union supporters and 47 percent of SPD voters – express the opposite view. Prior to the formation of the coalition in early May, a narrow majority of 51 percent anticipated a positive working relationship between the two parties.
The data was collected between August 11th and 13th, 2025, through telephone and online surveys of 1,370 randomly selected eligible voters.