The debate surrounding the planned combustion engine phase-out in Germany is creating uncertainty and potentially hindering the nation’s transition to electric mobility, according to prominent climate scientist Mojib Latif. In an interview with the Rheinische Post, Latif cautioned against any delays to the current timeline, emphasizing that the transportation sector remains a significant contributor to climate change with limited progress being made.
Latif’s critique comes amidst growing political pressure, with the German government recently signalling its intention to lobby the European Commission to allow “highly efficient” combustion engines beyond 2035. This move, while ostensibly aimed at maintaining consumer choice and protecting industries, is creating a climate of doubt amongst car buyers according to Latif and risks damaging Germany’s competitiveness. He argued that the shift towards electric vehicles is inexorable, particularly as China aggressively invests in and adopts the technology.
The scientific perspective is clear. While proponents of allowing continued combustion engine sales highlight efficiency gains, data from Agora Verkehrswende indicates a significant disparity in overall energy efficiency; electric vehicles operate at approximately 64%, compared to just 20% for gasoline-powered vehicles. This disparity extends beyond tailpipe emissions, encompassing energy production and overall system effectiveness.
Latif’s call for action focuses on bolstering electric vehicle adoption through tangible incentives. He stressed the need for a purchase premium, a significantly expanded public charging infrastructure and a reduction in electricity prices for charging stations. He believes that such measures, rather than creating loopholes for older technology, are the key to encouraging consumer uptake and aligning Germany with the global trend towards electrification. The policy U-turn being considered by the government risks undermining these goals and prolonging a reliance on technology that is increasingly demonstrably unsustainable.