A recent survey conducted monthly by the polling institute YouGov reveals a notable shift in German political preferences. For the first time, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) has surpassed the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) in the “Sunday Question” a regular measurement of voter intentions. The latest data, released Wednesday morning, indicates that CDU/CSU currently holds 26 percent of the vote, a one-point decrease from mid-August. Simultaneously, the AfD has gained two percentage points, securing 27 percent support.
The survey’s findings reflect a broader realignment within the electorate. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) stands at 15 percent (+1), while the Green Party registers 11 percent (-1). The Left Party holds 9 percent (-1), with the Basis Social Movement (BSW) remaining steady at 5 percent. The Free Democratic Party (FDP) has increased its support to 4 percent (+1) and other parties collectively account for another 4 percent.
Beyond party preference, the survey also explored public sentiment regarding the Bürgergeld (Basic Income Support). Approximately half of all respondents (51 percent) view the system as (rather) unfair. This perception appears to be a significant point of divergence between conservative and progressive factions. Among CDU/CSU voters, 63 percent consider the Bürgergeld (rather) unfair, compared to just 36 percent among SPD voters.
Opinions regarding the adequacy of the basic income level also differ considerably. While 38 percent of eligible voters believe the current rate is insufficient to sustain a dignified life, there’s a significant divide across party affiliations. This view is most prevalent among Green Party voters (58 percent) and the Left Party (56 percent). Conversely, a majority of CDU/CSU voters (65 percent), AfD voters (63 percent) and even a substantial portion of SPD voters (47 percent) believe the rate is adequate.
Finally, the survey uncovered strong agreement across the political spectrum regarding the relative closeness of the Bürgergeld and the minimum wage. Four out of five CDU/CSU voters (81 percent) and an overwhelming majority of AfD voters (89 percent) believe the difference is so small that working for those receiving Bürgergeld is no longer attractive. This sentiment is shared by 57 percent of SPD voters, 47 percent of Green voters and 52 percent of Left Party voters.