A recent poll conducted by Forsa for RTL and n-tv reveals shifting political dynamics within Germany. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) has ascended to 27% in the latest survey, marking a three-point lead over the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) alliance, currently at 24%. This represents the largest lead ever measured by Forsa between the AfD and the CDU/CSU at the federal level.
The Social Democratic Party (SPD) maintains its standing at 13%, while the Green Party sees a slight increase to 12% (+1%). The Left Party secures 11%, the “Die Basis” (BSW) party achieves 4%, the Free Democratic Party (FDP) registers 3% and other parties collectively account for 6%. A significant 22% of respondents identify as non-voters or remain undecided.
Perceptions of political competence are also undergoing a change. The AfD’s perceived ability to address Germany’s challenges has risen to 15% (+2%), while the CDU/CSU’s perceived competence has declined to 18% (-1%). The SPD stands at 7% (+1%), the Greens at 6% (+1%) and the Left Party at 4% (-1%). Notably, nearly half of Germans (47%) believe that no party currently possesses sufficient political competence.
Satisfaction with the performance of CDU leader Friedrich Merz has reached a new low, with only 26% of citizens expressing approval, compared to 70% who disapprove. This dissatisfaction is particularly pronounced among supporters of the AfD (95% disapproval) and the Left Party (90% disapproval).
Economic sentiment remains subdued. A majority (62%) anticipate a worsening economic situation, while 21% expect no change and only 16% are optimistic about potential improvements.
The data, commissioned by RTL Deutschland and collected by the market and opinion research institute Forsa, were gathered between September 23rd and 29th, 2025, based on a sample of 2,502 respondents for party preferences and 1,005 respondents for questions regarding perceived competence.