A deeply divisive proposal to link retirement age to years of contributions is sparking considerable debate across Germany, revealing stark political and socioeconomic fault lines. A recent Forsa poll, commissioned by “Stern” and RTL Deutschland and conducted December 11th and 12th, 2025, illuminates the complexity of the issue, showing a remarkably even split with 50% of citizens supporting the idea championed by economist Jens Südekum and 48% opposing it. This represents a significantly softened stance compared to previous surveys on a blanket increase of the standard retirement age, currently set at 67, which previously faced widespread rejection.
The core of Südekum’s proposal seeks to individualize retirement timelines based on an individual’s working history, potentially pushing back the age at which some can claim benefits. While seemingly a pragmatic solution to the challenges of an aging population and fluctuating labor market participation, it triggers anxiety and resentment among certain demographics.
The poll underscores that educational attainment plays a crucial role in shaping opinion. Individuals holding Abitur (university preparatory diploma) or having completed higher education are predominantly against the linked-contribution system (51% versus 46%), likely anticipating a delayed retirement. This resistance is especially pronounced amongst the 18-29 age group, with 63% expressing opposition – highlighting concerns about long working lives and potential future economic instability. Conversely, those with Hauptschulabschluss (lower secondary school diploma) demonstrate greater support for the reform (56% versus 42%), potentially reflecting a perception of greater immediate economic benefit.
Geographic disparities also emerge, with a substantial 58% of citizens residing in Eastern Germany favoring the concept of linking retirement age to contributions. This stands in contrast to the prevailing anxieties observed in other regions.
The political landscape is equally fractured. Support for the proposed changes is primarily concentrated among voters of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU/CSU) and the Alternative for Germany (AfD), with 56% and 54% respectively expressing approval. Conversely, the Social Democratic Party (SPD), the Green Party and the Left Party (Die Linke) – traditionally representing working-class interests – witness strong opposition from their voter bases, with 53% opposing in each respective instance.
The incredibly narrow margin of public opinion, combined with polarized views across socioeconomic and political demographics, suggests that any implementation of such a reform will require delicate political maneuvering and extensive public consultation. The potential for social unrest and further political fragmentation remains a significant concern for policymakers as they grapple with the long-term sustainability of Germany’s pension system.